Jack De Belin (MID): ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA DRAGONS

Return of relevant JDB?

Jack de Belin provides an interesting option in a very weak dragons pack that doesn’t boast any other big minute middles apart from Blake Lawrie and two edges that can play 80 minutes if required but Jacks already priced in a bit of a no mans land (681k) 47avg so we really need to be able to determine some clear value or role change that could boost his stocks.

So since returning to league after a 2 year hiatus

YearMinutesAverageGames
    
202150-60403
202250-604815
202150-70434
202250-704921
202160-75462
202260-75518

These are the kind of numbers Jacks put up so far which haven’t been that awe inspiring, basically what it spells out is that if jack isn’t playing 65+ on a weekly basis then he’s not going to be relevant in any capacity.

The only case that can be made for jack is that he’s getting used to the new speed of the game each year and getting fitter which is shown by his attacking output doubling from 2021 (3.4pg) to 2022 (9.9pg) respectively with his negatives (4.4pg) staying the same and the base staying within a couple of points of each other between those years, but each year shows a gradual increase in output so there is something there but nothing substantial enough to warrant taking the risk.

Better off spending the extra cash to go up to a guy like cotter or down to Adam Elliot who will have a similar output, upside not worth the risk.

Caution/Avoid

INTERN AUSTIN

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