PROJECTED STARTING 17 ROUND 1, 2022
FULLBACK: MATT DUFTY $521K 42BE (2021 AVG 36.6, FULLBACK AVG 41.6, WIN AVG 55.1)
LEFT WING: JOSH ADDO-CARR $530K 43BE
LEFT CENTRE: BRENT NADEN $317K 25BE (2021 AVG 27.2, CAREER CENTRE AVG 27.5)
RIGHT CENTRE: AARON SCHOUPP $411K 33BE
RIGHT WING: JAYDEN OKUNBOR $377K 30BE
LEFT HALF: MATT BURTON (2021 AVG 48.6, 2021 HALVES AVG 62.6)
Fantasy Impact (R): The new chief playmaker in Belmore with a ring on his finger and out from under the shadow of Cleary’s chin. As he has retained his CTR dual position he should be 100% owned in 2022. Burton seems like a candidate as a cut price keeper this year with his upside tied to your outlook for Dogs this year. The only question mark for me is the kicking split but I assume it’ll be similar to the few games Burton played with Luai that has it roughly 70/30 in Burton’s favour. NEW SCORING IMPACT: Between the kick metres and tackle busts, Burton cops a 7.5 point reduction, but a large portion of that should be mitigated by the additional goal kicking duties which are worth about 4.5 points per game on top of his current average. The question becomes whether Burton can sustain the attacking numbers, mind you some of the origin decimated Panthers sides Burton has played in aren’t exactly attacking master classes. Burton remains one of our top options for 2022. FOR OUR IN FOCUS ARTICLE CLICK HERE.
RIGHT HALF: JAKE AVERILLO $559K 45BE (21 AVG 48.2, DOWN TO 39.2 AS 2ND HALF)
RIGHT BACK ROW: JACK HETHERINGTON $424K 34BE (WHO THE HELL KNOWS)
LEFT BACK ROW: TEVITA PANGAI JR $668K 54BE (21 AVG 52.8, 2021 BR 57.1 CAR. 53.7)
Fantasy Impact (R): Pangai was outstanding on an edge for the Broncos in 2021 and it’s hard to seem him not replicating something similar with the Dogs. He’s an offloading, tackle busting and occasional try scoring edge that will come into this season at a slight discount following some games off the bench to end the year in Penrith. The big risk you take with Pangai is the same every year with the looming risk of suspension and more carry over points than Cleary has fantasy points. NEW SCORING IMPACT: Unfortunately, all the good extra points Pangai will get from the offload boost will be negated by the -4 or so in tackle busts per game. Assuming this edge of the Dogs fires, there might be a few points of value there, but he is far from a must. FOR OUR IN FOCUS ARTICLE CLICK HERE.
LOCK: JOSH JACKSON $760K $61BE (2021 AVG 57.9, CAREER LOCK AVG 56.7)
PROP: LUKE THOMPSON $695K 56BE (2021 AVG 54.5, 2021 PROP AVG 51)
PROP: PAUL VAUGHAN $624K 50BE (2021 AVG 47.2, CAREER PROP AVG 49.5)
HOOKER: JEREMY MARSHALL-KING $596K 48BE (21 AVG 46.2, 21 50+ MIN 54 IN 70)
Fantasy Impact (M): If Marshall-King could hold down a 70+ minute role, there is no doubt on my mind he could make the step up to gun hooker status. In 2021 he made a huge step defensively, completing 2 additional tackles per game that would have been misses before for a 6 point swing in points. He is also running the ball more, and more confidently, tripling his tackle bust per game count. The only real issue now is whether he can maintain a big minute role, because this Bulldogs team has taken a big step forward in terms of attack. Unfortunately it is a big IF, as he only managed 6 games of 50+ mins in 2021, at a longest stretch of 3 games.
BENCH 1: MAX KING $240K 19BE (SLOW BURN CASH COW OPTION)
BENCH 2: AVA SEUMANAFANGAI
BENCH 3: COREY WADDELL
BENCH 4/UTILITY: BAYLEY BIONDI-ODO
|TEVITA PANGAI JR||80|
FRINGE PLAYERS NOT PROJECTED TO MAKE STARTING 17
BACK ROW: RAYMOND FAITALA-MARINER $499K 32BE (2021 AVG 29.5, BR 49.9)
Fantasy Impact (M): Following the best part of a year out of football due to a foot injury, Faitala-Mariner has had a full chance to recover from his injury and will form part of one of the most devastating attacking back row partnerships in the competition. While Pangai will get the headlines, RFM is the one that Fantasy managers should pay attention to – because defenses probably won’t be. He comes in at a meagre $400k, making him an absolute steal if he starts week 1. NEW SCORING IMPACT: RFM only takes about a 0.5 point reduction to his scoring, and is also yet to play under the new “turnover tackles” rules which should negate this completely. If he starts back row in week 1, he should be one of the first players into your side.
CENTRE: BRAIDON BURNS $431K 35BE (2021 AVG 36, 2021 CENTRE AVG 41.3)
Fantasy Impact (R): If Burns can lock up this centre job he looks a steal and could be this years Momirovski. His career average playing 60+ mins is 41.6 and yes he is coming from Grand Finalists South Sydney to wooden spooners the Bulldogs so you may be skeptical. Fear not, Burns has never been reliant on tries or linebreaks to boost his scores. He’s a strong tackle busting centre who will be playing alongside their newly acquired chief playmaker, Matt Burton. All he’s got to do is get on the Tom Turbo training plan and keep those hamstrings strong. NEW SCORING IMPACT: The good news for Burns is that he doesnt rely on try scoring, with only a 30% try scoring rate across his career games at centre, unfortunately his scoring is propped up by an average of 4.6 tackle busts per game. There is definitely some room for upside with Burns in a few areas, but he cops a base 1.5 point per game reduction which drops him to just in keeper territory, but a long way behind the guns. A POD option but better money elsewhere.