Buy of the week- John Bateman

After a slow start and some injury affected games bateman comes into the week priced at 685k and with an average of 56pts when playing 80mins this year hes the perfect cut price keeper with great bye coverage and end game potential.

Sell of the week- Jackson ford

For those that held its time to let go of ford as he’s played the rd 13 bye we wanted him for and after failing to play 80mintues last week with just a regular substitute taking him off the field maybe indicating a role change and averaging 7.5 Mts per game in his last 4 games, he’s made his cash and its time to go.

Cheapie of the week- Karl oloapu

Priced at 293k and playing rd 16 the starting half for the doggies will be a soild cash cow and a valuable number in rd 16.

Gamble of the week- Scott Sorenson

After some blistering from in the last two matches Soro may have earned the 80min backrow position on form and with martin and a lot of other panthers in and around origin he could be a mainstay for a while. Playing the rd 16 bye and having a handy mid/edg dual he could be the perfect plug for a lot of teams however hes already highly priced at 676k with an uncertain role this ones not for the faint of heart.

*note: the gamble of the week is NOT endorsed by Amateurs Management.

Intern Austin

POD Buy of the week- Cody walker

Priced at 708k Cody walker presents an interesting option at half this week with an average of 52 over the opening rounds of the competition and playing 6/7 upcoming games with no chance of origin and the bunnies draw now becoming significantly softer (they play only 3 teams currently in the top 8 for the rest of the season) and only one team in the top 8 in the next 7 weeks, given Cody is an attacking focused player it wouldn’t be hard to see him benefiting from this draw and averaging close to 60 and being the perfect stepping stone to Hynes during the bunnies round 20 bye.

Sell of the week- Lachie Miller

Ever since ponga returned to the team millers scoring has been in the toilet and now the latter has replaced him with miller reverting to the bench. We held for this round but there’s no point in holding a back over 500k that’s starting from the bench, Fantasy gods win another time to sell.

Cheapie of the week- Corey Harawira-Naera

CHN has been catapulted into relevance with news that Elliot whitehead has been suspended for two weeks but is also injured for 4-6 weeks, with an average of 53pts when playing 80 minutes at backrow for the raiders and priced at 495k you could do a lot worse for a cow that plays rd 13 and has high upside.

Gamble of the week- Alex Johnston

Its no surprise that due to the bunnies ball busting opening draw that he’s been starved of attacking stats and has fallen down to 450k but as highlighted with Cody walker the bunnies have a soft draw coming up and with an average of 40pts against lesser teams he could provide a cheeky loop option through the bye period as well as an important number.

POD captain of the week- Kayln Ponga

Dropped from state of origin and floundering for form he returns to his favourite position at fullback and possibly getting the goalkicking back as well he could look to stamp his authority on this weeks game to prove a point.

Intern Austin

*note: the gamble of the week is NOT endorsed by Amateurs Management.

Buy of the week – Ben Trbojevic

With Kelma (slug) Tulagi out with a facial fracture for 6 weeks Burbo becomes hugely relevant as a basement price second rower available in the ctr position for fantasy and plays rd13, not a lot of slam dunks like this come around often. BUY

Sell of the week – James Tedesco

Those of us unfortunate enough to have gotten on teddy when he “bottomed out” haven’t seen the annual rise from the ashes that he usually does after dropping a large amount of cash. The roosters look out of it this year and with origin and the byes coming up and cheapies outperforming the once gun its time to say bon voyage to teddy for probably the rest of the year as he doesn’t look like the must have he used to be.

Cheapie of the week – Karl Oloapu

At 269k and a 25avg playing off the bench oloapu has shown enough to earn the starting spot in this bulldogs side and could show everyone this weekend why he’s been so highly touted when they face a titans team that is leaking on average 20pts per game, he also boasts a 41pt average across 8 games in reserve grade when playing 80mins and getting 200kms on average.

POD captain of the week – David Fifita

Having not scored under 60 since round 5 and having a last three average of 72, Difi comes up against a lowly bulldogs side the day before the QLD origin team is announced and could look to put on a monster performance to impress selectors one last time.

Gamble of the week – Harrison Edwards

Seaming to have deputised at lock for the doggies for the time being and a breakeven well into the negatives his current ppm of around 40pts in 60mins should be enough to get the 100-150k to make a worthwhile trade but with the doggies chopping and changing their pack each game there’s minutes in fluctuation, Gamble Gamble.

Intern Austin

*note: the gamble of the week is NOT endorsed by Amateurs Management.

Buy of the week- Hudson young

After a slow start to the season Hudson dropped some cash and is now sitting in the high 600’s with a breakeven in the low 40s, A last three average of 58 and last 5 average of 53 having just finished his bye and playing all the way through to rd 15 including the rd13 bye. Having found form and other edge cheapies close to or peaking currently it’s the perfect time to get Huddy into your team, there’s no need to worry about the Stuart factor with this one either as Hudson young is one of the only sure things in this raiders team in terms of role consistency. Must for overall players.

Sell of the week- Cameron Murray

Sad times in the fantasy community with Muz falling far from grace this season with a 56avg 150k in price drops and an 86 breakeven with origin around the corner its time to cut and run to a bye round gun of your choice. Sell

Cheapie of the week- Jahream Bula

After managing three respectable scores against decent opposition bula comes into the week just under 346k with a breakeven in the negatives and showing he gets through the work in base and hard work he has the ingredients as a solid buy for some of those failed or peaked cows. BUY

Gamble of the week- Valynce Te whare

Going against better judgement some people may be boxed into trading this guy in to facilitate a better upgrade this week, although this is bad process it could still yield a decent result given the lack of good options this week compared to that available next week. Feeling lucky?

Intern Austin

*note: the gamble of the week is NOT endorsed by Amateurs Management.

As we know, the NRL Fantasy players prices operate a little bit like a stock market, rising and falling with performance. Like the stock market, it is important to buy low, sell high, and have a healthy balance of risky and safe stocks. We will tell you which players to buy low and sell high on, and which ones are solid blue chippers or volatile penny stocks. We will also keep a list to hold, avoid, or monitor to wait for the dip to reach the bottom.

This article is bought to you by good friend of the show Jonas Wealth Management (https://www.jonaswm.com/), the preferred financial planner for Amateurs founding members Mark and Ryan. We have known Tyson for 10+ years, and while he is a terrible fantasy player, he is a great advisor (he has been a multi-year finalist for Independent Financial Advisor under 30 of the year), and handles both of our finances. He has helped me (Mark) personally with advice in the stock market, superannuation and insurance.

In the opinion of the Amateurs, it is never too early to get your finances on track, I know I personally burned up plenty in unnecessary fees and in bad super funds. If you want to find out more, contact Tyson through one of the many channels on his website and see what he has to offer your financial future – just don’t take any fantasy football tips from him, although he asked me to mention that he was briefly #1 overall in 2020, and that he is currently a higher rank than me in overall (post Round 1)!

RISKY BUY LOW – VOLATILE PENNY STOCKS

PLAYER NAME	CURRENT PRICE	BE	POTENTIAL UPSIDE	POTENTIAL VALUE	TIMELINE/RISKS
MATT BURTON	$666K	50	$750K	$100K+	IS HE BACK?
BRANDON SMITH	$572K	26	$700K+	$120K+	WHEELS UP!!
API KOROISAU	$613K	48	$700K+	$100K+	ORIGIN?
SCOTT DRINKWATER	$533K	27	$700K	$150K	INCONSISTENCY
JAHREAM BULA	$346K	-6	$500K	$150K	CEILING?
LUKE KEARY	$530K	32	$700K	$150K+	WALKER RETURN
TEVITA PANGAI JR	$527K	52	$700K	$150K	FITNESS
BILLY SMITH	$361K	-3	$500K	$140K	JOB SECURITY
ANDREW DAVEY	$445K	27	$550K	$100K	ROLE
HELIUM LUKI	$460K	33	$550K+	$100K+	INCONSISTENCY

BUY LOW – SAFE BLUE CHIPPERS

PLAYER NAME	CURRENT PRICE	BE	EXPECTED PEAK	POTENTIAL VALUE	TIMELINE/RISKS
REECE ROBSON	$702K	55	$800K	$50K	ESSENTIAL FOR OVERALL PLAYERS
DYLAN BROWN	$712K	25	$800K+	$100K	IDEAL SCHEDULE
JAMAL FOGARTY	$645K	40	$750K	$100K+	RAIDERS PERFORMANCE
JOSEPH MANU	$665K	34	$750K	$75K+	RETURN OF WALKER
REUBEN COTTER	$686K	40	$750K+	$75K	ORIGIN DUTIES
TOHU HARRIS	$658K	32	$800K+	$100K	MINUTES
DAVID KLEMMER	$645K	39	$750K	$100K	MINUTES
J’MAINE HOPGOOD	$719K	41	$750K	$30K	MINUTES
COREY HORSBURGH	$662K	23	$750K+	$75K+	RICKY

SELL HIGH – VOLATILE PENNY STOCKS

PLAYER NAME	CURRENT PRICE	BE	EXPECTED PEAK	POTENTIAL VALUE	TIMELINE/RISKS
HAMISO TABUAI-FIDOW	$524K	51	$550K	MINIMAL	MADE HIS $
PAUL ALAMOTI	$376K	37	$400K	MINIMAL	UPSIDE?
JACOB PRESTON	$631K	41	$600K	-$30K+	MADE HIS $$
WILL WARBRICK	$378K	33	$400K	MINIMAL	MADE HIS $$
TYRELL SLOAN	$414K	45	$450K	MINIMAL	MADE HIS $$
JOSEPH SUAALII	$399K	41	$400K	MINIMAL	JUST GIVE UP
ELIESA KATOA	$545K	64	$600K	$50K	FORM DIP
KOTONI STAGGS	$421K	49	$500K	$80K	WOOF
TOBY COUCHMAN	$343K	25	DROPPED

SELL HIGH – SAFE BLUE CHIPPERS

PLAYER NAME	CURRENT PRICE	EXPECTED PEAK	POTENTIAL VALUE	TIMELINE/RISKS
PAYNE HAAS	$882K	$900K	$20K	ORIGIN/DRAW
CAM MURRAY	$758K	$850K	$100K	ROLE/ORIGIN
VAL HOLMES	$570K	$600K	MINIMAL	ORIGIN/DRAW
TOM TRBOJEVIC	$519K	$650K	$130K	FITNESS

MONITOR THE DIP

PLAYER NAME	CURRENT PRICE	EXPECTED PEAK	CURRENT BREAKEVEN	BUY SIGNAL	COMMENTS
TEVITA TATOLA	$437K	$600K	35	BE <30	RELEVANCE?
REED MAHONEY	$652K	$750K	48	MTS!!	IS HE BACK?
JOHN BATEMAN	$682	$750K+	58	BE <50	TIGERS
SHAUN LANE	$640	$750K+	57	BE <50	FORM
ANGUS CRICHTON	$666K	$800K	65	BE <50	STARTER
ISAIAH PAPALII	$744K	$850K	71	BE <50	BOTTOM OUT
HARRY GRANT	$828K	$850K	67	BE <55	ORIGIN
JOE TAPINE	$695K	$750K	58	BE <50	BOTTOM OUT
JAMES FISHER-HARRIS	$650K	$750K	59	BE <50	BOTTOM OUT
DAMIEN COOK	$732K	$900K	74	BE <55	BOTTOM OUT
REUBEN GARRICK	$491K	$600K+	45	BE <40	BOTTOM OUT
JESSE RAMIEN	$497K	$600K+	66	BE <40	BOTTOM OUT

HOLD (THEY WILL BE FINE)

PLAYER NAME	CURRENT PRICE	EXPECTED PEAK	POTENTIAL VALUE	COMMENTS
ISAYA KATOA	$435K	$550K	$100K	ON BYE
CONNOLY LEMUELU	$637K	$700K	$60K	ON BYE

AVOID (HOLD IF YOU ALREADY HAVE THEM THOUGH)

PLAYER NAME	CURRENT PRICE	EXPECTED PEAK	POTENTIAL VALUE	TIMELINE/RISKS
JACKSON FORD	$537K	$600K	$60K	HIA/MISS TKLS

DON’T YOU DARE!

PLAYER NAME	CURRENT PRICE	BUT WHY
RAYMOND FAITALA-MARINER	$437K	LOW PPM IN MIDDLE

If you can’t see a players name on this list, it likely means we aren’t considering them as a buy/sell/etc at the moment. Feel free to shoot us a DM if you think we may have missed someone so we can update our list, and don’t forget to slip in Tysons DMs on Facebook about booking a consultation! (https://www.facebook.com/jonaswealthmanagement)

As we know, the NRL Fantasy players prices operate a little bit like a stock market, rising and falling with performance. Like the stock market, it is important to buy low, sell high, and have a healthy balance of risky and safe stocks. We will tell you which players to buy low and sell high on, and which ones are solid blue chippers or volatile penny stocks. We will also keep a list to hold, avoid, or monitor to wait for the dip to reach the bottom.

This article is bought to you by good friend of the show Jonas Wealth Management (https://www.jonaswm.com/), the preferred financial planner for Amateurs founding members Mark and Ryan. We have known Tyson for 10+ years, and while he is a terrible fantasy player, he is a great advisor (he has been a multi-year finalist for Independent Financial Advisor under 30 of the year), and handles both of our finances. He has helped me (Mark) personally with advice in the stock market, superannuation and insurance.

In the opinion of the Amateurs, it is never too early to get your finances on track, I know I personally burned up plenty in unnecessary fees and in bad super funds. If you want to find out more, contact Tyson through one of the many channels on his website and see what he has to offer your financial future – just don’t take any fantasy football tips from him, although he asked me to mention that he was briefly #1 overall in 2020, and that he is currently a higher rank than me in overall (post Round 1)!

RISKY BUY LOW – VOLATILE PENNY STOCKS

PLAYER NAME	CURRENT PRICE	BE	POTENTIAL UPSIDE	POTENTIAL VALUE	TIMELINE/RISKS
MATT BURTON	$668K	39	$800K	$150K+	HE IS BACK
HUDSON YOUNG	$665K	38	$750K	$100K+	TRY SCORING
BRANDON SMITH	$518K	17	$650K+	$120K+	WHEELS UP!!
KYLE FELDT	$377K	9	$450K+	$100K+	BYE COVER
API KOROISAU	$601K	36	$700K+	$100K+	ORIGIN?
JEREMY MARSHALL-KING	$698K	52	$750K+	$50K+	BYE RD COVER
JAKE GRANVILLE	$312K	-2	$450K?	$150K+	LAST WEEK!
SCOTT DRINKWATER	$504K	30	$700K	$200K	INCONSISTENCY
ZAC LOMAX	$475K	35	$600K	$125K+	DRAGONS FORM
BUNTY AFOA	$383K	8	$550K	$150K	MINS AVAILABLE
JAHREAM BULA	$247K	6	$450K	$200K	LAURIE
KODI NIKORIMA	$272K	5	$450K	$175K	MILFORD
TOAFOA SIPLEY	$485K	8	$600K	$120K	ROLE??
LUKE KEARY	$518K	30	$700K	$180K	WALKER RETURN
TEVITA PANGAI JR	$594K	49	$750K	$150K	FITNESS

BUY LOW – SAFE BLUE CHIPPERS

PLAYER NAME	CURRENT PRICE	BE	EXPECTED PEAK	POTENTIAL VALUE	TIMELINE/RISKS
REECE ROBSON	$763K	74	$850K	$50K	ESSENTIAL FOR OVERALL PLAYERS
DYLAN BROWN	$649K	50	$800K+	$100K+	IDEAL SCHEDULE
JACK BIRD	$654K	32	$700K+	$100K	BIG MIN LOCK
RYAN MATTERSON	$792K	56	$850K+	$50K+	MINUTES
JAMAL FOGARTY	$607K	41	$750K	$100K+	WHAT IS PROJECTION
MO FOTUAIKA	$664K	26	$750K	$100K	NO RD 15
JACK DE BELIN	$626K	37	$750K	$120K	MINUTES
JAMES TEDESCO	$576K	42	$750K	$150K+	OLD MAN KNEES
JOSEPH MANU	$615K	38	$750K	$120K+	RETURN OF WALKER
REUBEN COTTER	$686K	40	$750K+	$75K	ORIGIN DUTIES

SELL HIGH – VOLATILE PENNY STOCKS

PLAYER NAME	CURRENT PRICE	BE	EXPECTED PEAK	POTENTIAL VALUE	TIMELINE/RISKS
WILL WARBRICK	$390K	33	$400K	MINIMAL	MADE HIS $
IZAAC THOMPSON	$363K	19	$450K	$75K	DROPPED
PAUL ALAMOTI	$415K	37	$450K	MINIMAL	UPSIDE?
BRYCE CARTWRIGHT	$540K	52	SUB $500K	-$40K+	MADE HIS $

SELL HIGH – SAFE BLUE CHIPPERS

PLAYER NAME	CURRENT PRICE	EXPECTED PEAK	POTENTIAL VALUE	TIMELINE/RISKS
ELIESA KATOA	$593K	$650K	$75K	HIA AND BYES
TOHU HARRIS	$673K	$750K	$75K+	KNEE INJURY
CHARNZE NICOLL-KLOKSTAD	$467K	$500K	$50K	HIA AND BYES

MONITOR THE DIP

PLAYER NAME	CURRENT PRICE	EXPECTED PEAK	CURRENT BREAKEVEN	BUY SIGNAL	COMMENTS
TEVITA TATOLA	$481K	$650K	58	BE <45	RD1 CONCUSSION
REED MAHONEY	$652K	$750K	57	MTS!!	IS HE BACK?
DAVID KLEMMER	$637K	$750K	55	BE <50	MINUTES
JOHN BATEMAN	$696K	$750K+	58	BE <50	TIGERS
JAMES FISHER-HARRIS	$672K	$750K	61	BE <50	KNEE
SHAUN LANE	$684K	$750K+	57	BE <50	FITNESS
REUBEN GARRICK	$557K	$650K+	64	BE <40	CENTRE
TOM TRBOJEVIC	$551K	$700K	60	BE <45	NIGGLE
J’MAINE HOPGOOD	$682K	$750K	65	BE <50	1 MORE WEEK
ANGUS CRICHTON	$763K	$800K	76	BE <50	FITNESS
ISAIAH PAPALII	$818K	$850K	72	BE <50	TIGERS
DYLAN BROWN	$640K	$700K	51	BE <45	NEED 50+

HOLD (THEY WILL BE FINE)

PLAYER NAME	CURRENT PRICE	EXPECTED PEAK	POTENTIAL VALUE	COMMENTS
JOSEPH TAPINE	$737K	$850K+	$100K	WEIRD MINS
PAYNE HAAS	$905K	$900K	MINIMAL	TOP SCORER
HARRY GRANT	$841K	$850K	MINIMAL	TOP SCORER
TRENT LOIERO	$590K	$650K	$60K	JUST ON BYE

AVOID (HOLD IF YOU ALREADY HAVE THEM THOUGH)

PLAYER NAME	CURRENT PRICE	EXPECTED PEAK	POTENTIAL VALUE	TIMELINE/RISKS

DON’T YOU DARE!

PLAYER NAME	CURRENT PRICE	BUT WHY
JOSH CURRAN	$522K	LIMITED MINS DANGER

If you can’t see a players name on this list, it likely means we aren’t considering them as a buy/sell/etc at the moment. Feel free to shoot us a DM if you think we may have missed someone so we can update our list, and don’t forget to slip in Tysons DMs on Facebook about booking a consultation! (https://www.facebook.com/jonaswealthmanagement)

Buy – James Tedesco $576k BE – 42

The moment we have all been waiting for, signs of life. For the first time in 2023 Teddy has posted a good score, the good news is he has completely bottomed out in price. Bad news is we know that he is locked in for State of Origin. If you are a h2h, now is the buy time. If you are overall, it’s a little more complicated, and a little bit of a gamble. Have a look at his draw for the origin period and see if you have enough coverage to manage the weeks he will be out.

Sell – Tohu Harris $673k BE – 75

A week ago, I was getting excited for Tohu to find his way into my team after shedding a little more money. Unfortunately, the fantasy gods have decided to throw a spanner in the works with a re-injury to Tohu. This is the main reason he is a sell, even when he is back I have absolutely no doubt that he will be eased back into the team and his minutes managed. While the Warriors are flying high the risk of another long-term injury to Tohu isn’t worth the gamble. Jump off while you can and spend the money wisely.

Cheapie – Jahream Bula $247k BE- 6

Priced at $247k, could Jahream be the cheapie we have all been waiting for? He looked good on debut and started off with a solid 32. Sheens seems to hold him in high regard with everything leaning towards him being their long-term fullback. It also helps that Laurie looks to be moving to 6 long term and Staines out injured. While it looks good so far, the Tigers are an absolute dumpster fire. They haven’t won a game this season and Jahream could be out of the team next week with a bad performance. With any cheapie comes a little bit of risk. But priced so cheap with a low BE he is worth a long hard look.

Gamble – Jake Granville $312k BE – -2

I can’t believe I am writing this, but Jake Granville could be a buy. Yeah, that was hard to write. 

With the injuries at the Cowboys and Payten’s love for Granville we have seen him playing in the middle with an average of 58 minutes in the last 3 games for an average score of 36. This doesn’t scream “BUY” until we add in a few extras. Firstly, he is priced at $312k with a BE of -2 and could be a key cog coming into the bye rounds. While I’m not saying go out and buy Granville, but do your due diligence and see if he fits into your team. 

Remember, he is a GAMBLE.

Intern Dale

Looking for a potential POD to move you away from the pack? Today we have found you a safe one, while a little pricey his job security is locked down.

Ryan Matterson. As we know Matto missed the opening few rounds of the year after getting a suspension in last years grand final. This has been well documented on social media and in the news. But since he has been back, he has been an absolute workhorse. With a season average of 60.8 and an average of 73 minutes it’s hard to see why he is a POD.

The answer to that is simple, his price tag. Priced at $792k with a breakeven on 56, he is priced in the top tier of players, for good reason. I mean look at that average, you’re paying for that certainty. We are getting to the time of the season where we start to spend some money on players that will get us all the way through to the end.

State of Origin poses a little risk as well. While I personally don’t think he will be in the team for NSW there is the risk. I remember watching an interview with Brad Fitler regarding Matto taking the suspension instead of the monetary fine at the start of the season. And Fitler said, I wouldn’t want to play alongside a teammate who wouldn’t sacrifice money to be there with me. It was an interesting comment at the time that stuck with me (mainly for my fantasy prospects) and made me think if that would affect his Origin prospects. But I guess only time will tell.

Please also note Matto is on the Bye is rounds 14 and 18. So we would be coming up to a period where he is unavailable for 2 rounds.

I think Matto is a terrific buy, strong base, good job security, and in a team that will be competing come finals time. If you’ve got the money spare, get the man in.

Intern Dale

Buy of the week- James Tedesco

Teddy has fallen all the way down in price to 579k and still has a breakeven in the high 50s so you could wait another week but with the dragon’s matchup on Anzac day odds are on that he beats his be or scores his first 50 of the year with cows peaking its time for an upgrade.

Sell of the week- Bryce cartwright ☹

The party is well and truly over, with Arthur playing musical chairs with he line-up with Shaun lane back its not guaranteed that carty will get 80 mins a week and with a be in the high 40s its time to leave the party and head down to the local kebab store to finish up the night.

Hold of the week- Eliesa Katoa

A lot of coaches may be tempted to sell, myself included but with the revenge game against the warriors this Anzac Day a game that is traditionally a high scoring affair its worth giving Katoa a chance to convince you to hold him given he is yet to score a try this year and is still averaging 49pts.

Gamble of the week- Jack de Bellin

With news coming out that last week the dragons were in fact NOT docked an interchange for their team sheet blunder it appears that jack has become a big minute lock for the dragons following the trend of many other NRL clubs that are asking their locks to play extended minutes more then usually, however given Jacks score of 67 in 80mins last week had 3 Turn over tackles in it. It feels likely that jack could average 50-55 in 80mins when playing at lock but anything less would be a bust and given Tapine is on the bye this week it makes the most sense to take the leap this week rather then next. Buyer Beware\

Cheapie of the week – Jacob Host

Its a bit on the thin side in the cheapie dept this week, but Host looks a decent shout with a clear 10 or so points of value as long as he holds down his back row spot until Koloamatagi returns, which he was likely to do even with Koloamatagi available. At $377k, he is an extra round 13 number, and a reliable 18th man.

POD Captain of the week- Isaah Yeo

With a grudge match against the bunnies this Thursday Yeo firms as a solid captaincy option as he will have to get through a mountain of work and play 80mintues like he frequently does to help Penrith control this red hot bunnies outfit, Isaah Yeo hasn’t missed a tackle since round 1 with 256 tackles completed and only 4 missed any attacking stats and yeo is going 80+ here.

Intern Austin