WONG TIME?

Published by

on

As we approach Round 6, Siua skyrockets into fantasy relevance and discussion after making a whopping $245k. Can he continue to sustain this fantasy output and promise, making him a cut-price keeper?

THE UPSIDE

To assess Wong’s viability, we must first understand how we have got here. In short, the Roosters have had an extensive injury list and cannot survive one week without a notable forward going down.

With Nat and Egan Butcher not starting the season due to their respective injuries/illness, with Brandon Smith out, there was a pathway for someone like Siua to make that edge spot his own.

NRL EDG STARTS 60+ MINUTESAVGBASEATTNEG
559.255.213.8-9.8

**Wong played centre in R26 v Tigers so that game has been omitted*.

It is evident that Siua has taken a huge step up and elevated his game, looking dangerous and damaging on that right edge. There’s a reason why Siua was touted for a promising gun at such a young age, and the Roosters did not let anyone snap him up.

From a fantasy perspective, the most pleasing thing is the variance in how he is obtaining these scores even without a try. In the most recent game where he scored 80, we saw Wong at his attacking best, throwing plenty of offloads and racking up the run metres. We also see games where he accrues the base stats with a nice 55 in Rd 4 against the Titans in 66 minutes a good example.

Siua’s reserve grade statistics also show that this is who he is, and the output is sustainable. If you look at his lock stats,

NSW CUP LOCK STARTS 60+ MIN  AVGBASEATTNEG
1060.654.914.2-8.5

The upside is clear. We have been big on the big man breakout this season, and it is evident that we were one year too early. He has defied expectations in 2025. Pre this season, he has 20 games in NSW cup with a respectable 49.6 AVG in 20 games, further exemplifying the foundation and talent to excel in fantasy.

It is worth noting that the Roosters bye schedule is perfect for overall coaches and H2H coaches who play the Origin bye rounds. The Roosters have their byes in 10, 14 & 17, which are all standalone. Hence, there is maximum availability in all 6 minor and major byes, which is the key to not only sustaining a good rank for overall coaches but also making them as well.

THE DOWNSIDE.

There are a few glaring downsides, as I’m sure you’re all thinking. Let’s assess them together objectively.

  1. Trent Robinson has hurt us before and he’s very ready to do it again.
  2. Is he going to keep this edge spot and sustain a good minute role?
  3. Too many Roosters? Rd 10 bye?

There’s no arguing that Trent Robinson even with his ”infinite wisdom”, comes up with the weirdest rotations. You don’t have to look any further than how he used Terrell May in 2024. Or his love affair with the 60 min edge.  

The reality is Siua Wong has won that edge spot on merit, and with Lindsay Collins out, I don’t see Victor Radley moving back to occupy an edge spot with the Roosters so light on middles as they are. As coaches have observed and discussed, the fact that Siua is playing edge over Nat Butcher (who Trent could have at any point moved him to edge) or over Foketi (who in his own right is also a good edge) speaks volumes of how highly he is viewed.

The question is really: 65 or 80 minutes?

Realistically, it is fair to project that Siua won’t play 80 minutes and can average about 47. As always, there are mouths to feed in this pack. Understandably, coaches may want to be conservative and let this go. If there’s a 5 in front of his minutes, does anyone want the Roosters head coach role?

Objectively, however, I don’t think it is necessarily disastrous if he doesn’t play 80.  He’ll end up somewhere at about 660k with the uptick in origin minutes due to Angus Crichton going to Origin and potentially Collins (if fit). You would now have someone who will give you great coverage and scoring – at that point, his price does not matter.

Roosters projected Minutes/PPM/Average

Source: NRL Fantasy Amateurs 2025 Projections

Source: NRL Fantasy Pro (2025) – https://app.rugbyleaguefantasypro.com/fantasy/l/price-forecast

The obvious concern most coaches hold is the sheer number of Roosters in our teams with a Rd 10 bye. Connor Watson, Sandon Smith, Robert Toia, Naufahu Whyte, James Tedesco. Holding a combination of 3-4 Roosters is asking for trouble, even before any potential injuries and suspensions to the rest of your squad. Suddenly, you may be left with one short or scrambling to play a 21st man you don’t want to.

I’m sure fantasy gods will ruin this projection, but if I were to describe something reasonable.

  1. Sandon Smith will be a sell soon as Savala will probably end up taking away from his base.
  2. Connor Watson has to go Round 10 regardless because unless Laurie Daley has rocks in his head, he is the NSW utility.
  3. Robert Toia may have peaked by Rd 10, and you can turn him into Beau Fermor or whatever angle you take.

Conclusion:

In short, this one is divisive and will come down to the coach’s choice. Whether you deem this the right risk worth taking comes down to your process and conviction. While I’m probably not going to take this one, I think this may be a risk worth taking – eye test wise, decent enough security, and bye coverage would do it. He can absolutely crank out 50 in 65 minutes and be another Hosking.

THE ANONYMOUS INTERN.

BONUS:

AGE: Good

DURABILITY: Good

TEAM: Concern (objectively)

PROTOTYPE: Good

Additionally, we can look at the “ethical fantasy” factors

VERSATILITY: Concern (probably the centre cover)

GRUB FACTOR: Good

Leave a comment